I'm sure you have all already looked at nations' stats you want to see, but I blocked them anyways so we can pretend we actually follow the rules around here.
I really dislike the idea of Prussia forming at all (the government is disgusting); Poland is going to get all of Lithuania for free, the Polish start, Prussian ideas, and Prussian Monarchy for a few hundred diplomatic points that won't matter at all. I really think Prussia should just be banned from being formed.
The only advantage for Poland to switch to Prussia is post tech 24 Ubermensch. Even then it's not even a big increase in relative power, worse cavalry for a little better infantry, a little more morale and a little bit better generals. Not huge.
The Prussians government however, is almost certaintly worse for Poland than Absolute Monarchy. You theoretically get +5% discipline (and cheaper units) but, seeing that 13< causes an unsustainable loss of Militarization it becomes a huge miles point sink. If Guren wants to spend a huge amount of Diplo mana and then a huge amount of Military mana every major war to get a small advantage let him. I am almost certain the same investment in development would have given him more relative power.
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